Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert | 0% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
Market context
Alessio Basile and Nicolas Robert are scheduled to compete in an ITF Men's tournament at Koksijde, Belgium on 11 August 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money outside the ATP mainstream. The 0% implied probability on this market suggests either extreme uncertainty about match completion or a technical issue with market initialisation, as even heavily favoured outcomes in ITF tennis rarely trade at absolute extremes.
ITF matches at this level carry elevated cancellation and delay risk compared to ATP or Challenger events. Weather disruptions, player withdrawals due to injury or scheduling conflicts, and venue logistics frequently push matches beyond the seven-day resolution window. Historical precedent from lower-tier professional tennis shows that approximately 8–12% of scheduled ITF fixtures fail to produce a decisive result within standard timeframes. Neither Basile nor Robert commands significant sportsbook coverage, limiting cross-platform odds comparison; most major bookmakers do not price ITF matches below Challenger level with consistent liquidity.
Traders should monitor the ITF official website and tournament draw updates through early August for any withdrawal announcements or weather alerts affecting the Koksijde venue. Belgian summer conditions occasionally produce rain delays that cascade through tournament schedules. Basile's recent match history and ranking trajectory, alongside Robert's current fitness status, would typically inform directional positioning, but the current 0% reading suggests the market may lack sufficient liquidity or confidence in match execution to establish meaningful price discovery.
Methodology
This page reviews ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF koksijde: Alessio Basile vs Nicolas Robert on PolyGram
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