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US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.5 73% US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 67% US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 36.5 64% US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 9.5 60% Volume: $136K Liquidity: $277K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.573%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 3.567%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 36.564%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 9.560%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Game Spread +/-0.558%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 38.556%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic53%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner53%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 40.553%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 3 Winner52%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner51%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 10.540%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.532%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 4.531%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-2.514%

Market context

The US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vale…

Methodology

We track US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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