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Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz 50% Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner 50% Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $144K Liquidity: $262K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz50%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner50%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner50%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.550%
Completed Match40%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cincinnati open: corentin moutet vs hubert hurkacz stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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