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Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 Winner 100% Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 21.5 99% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $62K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 Winner100%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 21.599%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 22.590%
Completed Match50%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 23.550%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw23%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 Winner0%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of manacor: inaki montes vs felix balshaw. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Felix Balshaw in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page reviews Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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