Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, porto: oriol roca batalla vs enrico dalla valle stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Enrico Dalla Valle in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Porto: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Enrico Dalla Valle on PolyGram
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