Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 2 Winner | 17% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur | 8% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 56% chance of livesport prague open: lanlana tararudee vs daria snigur. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Lanlana Tararudee and Daria Snigur in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
We track Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigur across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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