Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 21.5 | 73% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 22.5 | 54% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 Winner | 34% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger | 20% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, livesport prague open: daria snigur vs lilli tagger stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Lilli Tagger in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
We track Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger on PolyGram
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