Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterine Gorgodze and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the Palermo, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterine …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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