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Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 169.5 54% O/U 170.5 52% Spread -6.5 48% Spread -7.5 44% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $237K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 169.554%
O/U 170.552%
Spread -6.548%
Spread -7.544%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 10.535%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.535%
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces33%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 16.533%
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.533%
NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.531%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.530%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.529%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.527%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.527%
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.527%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.526%
NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.526%
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.525%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.524%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.523%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.523%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.523%
Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.522%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.522%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.519%

Market context

The Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction market currently prices this outcome at 54% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 10:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 169.5 at 54% for "Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces".

O/U 169.5 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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