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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 65% Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.5 60% Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty 59% 1H Moneyline 59% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $518K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.565%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.560%
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty59%
1H Moneyline59%
Spread -2.554%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.554%
O/U 172.554%
2H Spread -1.554%
2H O/U 86.554%
2H Moneyline53%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.552%
1H Spread -1.552%
O/U 173.551%
1H O/U 86.551%
1Q Spread -0.551%
2Q Spread -0.551%
3Q O/U 43.551%
4Q O/U 43.551%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.551%
Spread -3.550%
1Q O/U 43.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q O/U 43.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.549%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.549%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.548%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.548%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.548%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.548%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.546%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 23.545%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.545%
Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.544%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.542%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.542%
Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.541%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.540%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.538%
4Q Moneyline32%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.529%

Market context

The Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty prediction market currently prices this outcome at 65% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 29 at 8:30PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 at 65% for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty".

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 65% Other 35%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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