Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| O/U 181.5 | 65% |
| O/U 182.5 | 60% |
| Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| O/U 183.5 | 55% |
| Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| O/U 184.5 | 52% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jewell Loyd: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 185.5 | 49% |
| Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx | 31% |
| A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 21% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to las vegas aces vs. minnesota lynx. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 8 at 1:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $252K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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