Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
54% | 46% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
54% | 46% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| O/U 160.5 | 52% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| O/U 161.5 | 48% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 162.5 | 46% |
| O/U 163.5 | 44% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 41% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Janelle Salaün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 | 28% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 54% YES probability for Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 7 at 9:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $107K.
Methodology
This page reviews Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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