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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $458K Liquidity: $639K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.590%
Match Winner57%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5)10%
Map 2 Winner1%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)1%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Natus Vincere (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Natus Vincere (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: team heretics vs natus vincere (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. Th…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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