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Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) 100% Volume: $306K Liquidity: $814K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Pcific Esports (+8.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)10%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: pcific esports vs gentle mates (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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