Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Natus Vincere (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: natus vincere vs pcific esports (bo3) - vct emea group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Natus Vincere and Pcific Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VC… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →