Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-6.5) vs G2 Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-7.5) vs G2 Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 89% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 88% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 76% |
| Match Winner | 53% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 22% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: g2 esports vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
We track Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Es… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →