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Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5) 100% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $141K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Winner70%
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)61%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 4 Winner47%
O/U 4.5 Games40%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.528%
Match Winner14%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: bilibili gaming vs tyloo (bo5) - vct china stage 2 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between Bilibili Gaming and TYLOO in the VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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