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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 69% Map 1 Winner 64% Map 2 Winner 64% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 60% Volume: $174K Liquidity: $383K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner69%
Map 1 Winner64%
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.559%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)52%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)42%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.542%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%

Market context

Market consensus: 69% chance of valorant: 100 thieves vs t1 (bo3) - vct champions group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and T1 in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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