Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato | 100% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% |
| Edwards to win by KO/TKO? | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% |
| Edwards in Round 3 | 100% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% |
| Bellato to win by KO/TKO? | 0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% |
| Edwards in Round 1 | 0% |
| Edwards in Round 2 | 0% |
| Bellato in Round 1 | 0% |
| Bellato in Round 2 | 0% |
| Bellato in Round 3 | 0% |
| Decision or Draw | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodolfo Bellato at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for Se…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $285K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bella… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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