Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Hradec Králové and Beşiktaş meet in the first leg of a UEFA Europa League qualifier at Malsovická arena, with the game listed for 6 August at 17:00 UTC and the tie deciding who reaches the final qualifying round. UEFA’s match page and multiple live-score listings place the fixture in Hradec Králové, while Czech reporting says the home leg is effectively a sell-out and will be shown on Nova Sport 5.[1][2][14]
The market’s **0% YES** price is materially below the shape of the broader football market, where Beşiktaş were framed as the stronger side by qualifiers’ coverage and by sportsbook pricing around the fixture. Yahoo’s market snapshot had Beşiktaş at roughly **-102** on the moneyline, with Hradec Králové at **+260** and the draw at **+233**, which implies a far more competitive game than a zero-priced prediction-market contract suggests.[11] Comparable preview coverage also noted there is no previous head-to-head between the clubs, so traders are effectively reading a new matchup through team-level reputation rather than direct history.[14][15]
Catalysts on this contract are mostly team-sheet and scheduling dependent: UEFA squad lists can change close to kick-off, and FotMob flagged Hradec defender Tomáš Petrásek as unavailable with injury.[9][12] The other live variable is the two-legged structure itself, because the first-leg score will shape whether this market stays live only as a straight “more markets” event or is reinterpreted alongside the second-leg context; Czech and UEFA sources agree the return leg is the decisive dependency for who advances.[1][16]
Methodology
This page reviews FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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