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World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

King Felipe VI 100% Mikie Sherrill 100% Kathy Hochul 100% David Beckham 100% Volume: $134K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
King Felipe VI100%
Mikie Sherrill100%
Kathy Hochul100%
David Beckham100%
Tom Brady100%
Sean Duffy100%
Marco Rubio100%
Drake100%
Serena Williams100%
Timothée Chalamet100%
Antonela Roccuzzo100%
Zinedine Zidane100%
Mark Carney100%
Claudia Sheinbaum100%
Javier Milei0%
Rupert Murdoch0%
Pam Bondi0%
Kristi Noem0%
Cristiano Ronaldo0%
Elon Musk0%
Jeff Bezos0%
LeBron James0%
Kim Kardashian0%
Leonardo DiCaprio0%
Bad Bunny0%
Rosalía0%
Rafael Nadal0%
Pep Guardiola0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, world cup final: who will attend? stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as be…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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