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Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 95% FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 80% O/U 1.5 79% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.580%
O/U 1.579%
1st Half O/U 0.572%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half O/U 0.569%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.563%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 0.562%
O/U 2.555%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.553%
Both Teams to Score48%
2nd Half O/U 1.548%
FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)44%
1st Half O/U 1.536%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.536%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.534%
O/U 3.532%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half O/U 1.532%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.527%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.524%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)23%
2nd Half O/U 2.522%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
O/U 4.516%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
O/U 5.57%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.57%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 2.54%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.54%
Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)3%
Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)1%

Market context

Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 3% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-30T18:45:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We track Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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