Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Falkirk’s meeting with St Mirren is already live in the market, but the contract’s **0% YES** reading is much lower than the footballing history would suggest. Recent head-to-head data show a fairly balanced rivalry over the long run: one database puts the all-time record at 11 Falkirk wins, 10 St Mirren wins and 10 draws from 31 games, while more recent slices show Falkirk winning two of the last three league meetings, including a 2-0 away win in January and a 2-1 home loss in September 2025.[1][2][18] That makes a zero-implied outcome unusual versus both the series history and the fact that the sides have repeatedly traded results rather than establishing a one-way pattern.[1][12]

The more relevant comparison now is not just form, but what the market has already priced versus matchday dependencies. Sky Sports’ recent team pages show Falkirk coming into the contest after a mixed Premier Sports Cup run, while St Mirren’s pre-season and cup results have also been uneven, which supports a wide range of possible scoring and outcome markets rather than a near-certainty on any single “more markets” contract.[4] With settlement ending at the scheduled start time, traders should watch final line-ups, late injury and squad news, and whether either club rotates heavily from its most recent cup teams; those announcements can move sportsbook derivatives quickly, while a 0% prediction-market price suggests this particular contract is either narrowly defined or currently detached from the broader football consensus.[4][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.