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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown 100% Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 97% Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 96% George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown 95% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown100%
Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.597%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 14.596%
George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown95%
Rachaad White: Anytime Touchdown95%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 29.593%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 9.593%
Christian McCaffrey: 2+ Touchdowns93%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 199.592%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.592%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 199.592%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 39.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 49.592%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 19.592%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 24.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 39.592%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 59.592%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.592%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 4.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 5.592%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 3.592%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 14.591%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 19.591%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 49.590%
George Kittle: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)88%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.586%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 224.582%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 274.581%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 9.580%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 19.580%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 19.580%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 29.580%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 29.580%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 49.580%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 59.580%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 79.580%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 19.576%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 29.576%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 39.576%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 89.576%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 19.574%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 249.569%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.566%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 49.563%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 69.556%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.554%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 149.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 174.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 224.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 99.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 124.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 149.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 174.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 29.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 4.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 9.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 14.551%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 4.551%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 34.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 6.551%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 2.551%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 4.551%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 5.551%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 2.551%
George Kittle: Longest Reception O/U 24.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 19.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 17.551%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 19.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 19.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 39.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 49.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 59.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 69.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 79.550%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 9.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 44.550%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 109.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 2.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 4.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 5.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 6.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 7.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 8.550%
Chig Okonkwo: 2+ Touchdowns50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 2+ Touchdowns50%
Mike Evans: Longest Reception O/U 24.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 35.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 23.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 21.550%
Brock Purdy: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Chig Okonkwo: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Jayden Daniels: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Kaelon Black: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Mike Evans: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Rachaad White: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Terry McLaurin: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Kaelon Black: 2+ Touchdowns49%
Christian McCaffrey: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)45%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 21.544%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)42%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 24.540%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 274.539%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 299.538%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 79.536%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 79.534%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 59.529%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 39.528%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.527%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.525%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 9.525%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 24.524%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 35.523%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 29.522%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 89.522%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 324.521%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 299.520%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 89.520%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 29.519%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 19.518%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 6.518%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 99.517%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 39.514%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 29.513%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Anytime Touchdown13%
Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown13%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.512%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.512%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 69.512%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 79.512%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 7.512%
Rachaad White: 2+ Touchdowns12%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 349.511%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.511%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 59.511%
Brock Purdy: Anytime Touchdown11%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 49.510%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 69.510%
George Kittle: 2+ Touchdowns10%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 99.59%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 99.59%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 8.59%
Brock Purdy: 2+ Touchdowns9%
Mike Evans: 2+ Touchdowns9%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.57%
Terry McLaurin: Anytime Touchdown7%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 39.56%
Chig Okonkwo: Anytime Touchdown6%
Jayden Daniels: Anytime Touchdown6%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 89.55%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 79.55%
Kaelon Black: Anytime Touchdown5%
Jayden Daniels: 2+ Touchdowns2%
Terry McLaurin: 2+ Touchdowns1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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