How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Cardinals vs. Raiders | Polymarket Vs Kalshi 2026

Name: Cardinals vs. Raiders
Start: 2026-07-09T12:02:58.046Z
End: 2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	91%	9%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	91%	9%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 39.5	91%
O/U 40.5	90%
O/U 41.5	86%
O/U 42.5	84%
Cardinals vs. Raiders	52%
1H O/U 21.5	52%
Cardinals O/U 19.5	50%
Cardinals O/U 20.5	50%
Raiders O/U 21.5	50%
Raiders O/U 22.5	50%
1H O/U 22.5	50%
O/U 43.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H Spread -2.5	50%
Raiders O/U 20.5	49%
Spread -1.5	44%
Spread -2.5	42%
Spread -3.5	31%

Market context

Market consensus: 91% chance of cardinals vs. raiders. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 13 at 8:00PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 39.5 at 91% for "Cardinals vs. Raiders".

O/U 39.5 91% Other 9%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $136K.

Methodology

We track Cardinals vs. Raiders across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writerand

Priya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade Cardinals vs. Raiders on PolyGram

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Cardinals vs. Raiders

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Cardinals vs. Raiders on PolyGram

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