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Heat vs. Hornets

Five-platform snapshot of "Heat vs. Hornets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Team to Score First 100% Odd/Even Score 100% Race to 10 100% Race to 20 100% Volume: $4.9M Closes: 24 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Heat vs. Hornets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team to Score First100%
Odd/Even Score100%
Race to 10100%
Race to 20100%
Race to 30100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 204.5100%
O/U 206.5100%
O/U 208.5100%
O/U 210.5100%
O/U 212.5100%
O/U 214.5100%
O/U 216.5100%
O/U 218.5100%
O/U 220.5100%
O/U 222.5100%
O/U 224.5100%
1H O/U 119.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 16.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 9.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 14.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5100%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 9.5100%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 14.5100%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5100%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5100%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.5100%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 14.5100%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 9.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 19.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 24.5100%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 9.5100%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 14.5100%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 19.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 4.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5100%
Klay Thompson: Points O/U 4.5100%
Klay Thompson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5100%
Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5100%
Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H O/U 103.5100%
1H O/U 105.5100%
1H O/U 107.5100%
1H O/U 109.5100%
1H O/U 111.5100%
1H O/U 113.5100%
1H O/U 115.5100%
1H O/U 121.5100%
1H O/U 123.5100%
1H O/U 117.5100%
1Q O/U 60.5100%
1Q O/U 48.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q O/U 59.5100%
2Q O/U 55.5100%
2Q O/U 57.5100%
2Q O/U 61.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q O/U 51.5100%
4Q O/U 53.5100%
Hornets 1H O/U 61.5100%
Hornets O/U 114.5100%
Hornets 1H O/U 63.5100%
Hornets O/U 102.5100%
Hornets O/U 104.5100%
Hornets O/U 106.5100%
Hornets O/U 112.5100%
Hornets O/U 108.5100%
Hornets O/U 110.5100%
Hornets 1H O/U 55.5100%
Hornets 1H O/U 57.5100%
Hornets 1H O/U 59.5100%
Heat O/U 105.5100%
Heat O/U 107.5100%
Heat O/U 109.5100%
Heat 1H O/U 56.5100%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Sion James: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Sion James: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 4.5100%
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 9.5100%
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5100%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 9.5100%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5100%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 19.5100%
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 4.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 14.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Heat vs. Hornets0%
Overtime?0%
Spread -3.50%
O/U 232.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -4.50%
O/U 250.50%
O/U 252.50%
O/U 254.50%
O/U 256.50%
O/U 258.50%
O/U 260.50%
O/U 226.50%
O/U 228.50%
O/U 230.50%
O/U 234.50%
O/U 236.50%
O/U 238.50%
O/U 240.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.50%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.50%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 34.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 39.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 44.50%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.50%
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 5.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 3.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 7.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 9.50%
Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 1.50%
Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 2.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 2.50%
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 7.50%
Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 34.50%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 39.50%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 5.50%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 0.50%
Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 1.50%
Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 2.50%
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 29.50%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 7.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 11.50%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 6.50%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 3.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 19.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 24.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 4.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 9.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 14.50%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 24.50%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 29.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.50%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 5.50%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 7.50%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 9.50%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 11.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 3.50%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 1.50%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 5.50%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 7.50%
Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.50%
Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 19.50%
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.50%
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 5.50%
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 11.50%
Klay Thompson: Assists O/U 1.50%
Klay Thompson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 5.50%
Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.50%
Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.50%
Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.50%
Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 2.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -19.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H O/U 125.50%
1H O/U 127.50%
1H O/U 129.50%
1H O/U 131.50%
1H O/U 133.50%
1H O/U 135.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q O/U 62.50%
1Q O/U 64.50%
1Q O/U 66.50%
1Q O/U 68.50%
1Q O/U 70.50%
1Q O/U 72.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q O/U 63.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q O/U 56.50%
3Q O/U 50.50%
3Q O/U 52.50%
3Q O/U 54.50%
3Q O/U 58.50%
3Q O/U 60.50%
3Q O/U 62.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q O/U 55.50%
Heat O/U 117.50%
Hornets O/U 120.50%
Hornets 2H O/U 61.50%
Heat O/U 123.50%
Heat O/U 125.50%
Hornets O/U 122.50%
Heat 1H O/U 64.50%
Heat O/U 127.50%
Hornets O/U 124.50%
Heat O/U 129.50%
Hornets O/U 126.50%
Hornets O/U 116.50%
Hornets O/U 118.50%
Hornets 2H O/U 53.50%
Hornets 2H O/U 55.50%
Hornets 2H O/U 57.50%
Hornets 2H O/U 59.50%
Heat O/U 111.50%
Heat O/U 113.50%
Heat O/U 115.50%
Heat 1H O/U 58.50%
Heat 1H O/U 60.50%
Heat 1H O/U 62.50%
Heat 2H O/U 54.50%
Heat 2H O/U 56.50%
Heat 2H O/U 58.50%
Heat 2H O/U 60.50%
Heat 2H O/U 62.50%
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 24.50%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 29.50%
Klay Thompson: Points O/U 24.50%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 34.50%
Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.50%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Sion James: Points O/U 4.50%
Sion James: Points O/U 9.50%
Sion James: Points O/U 14.50%
Sion James: Points O/U 19.50%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Sion James: Assists O/U 5.50%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 0.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.50%
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 19.50%
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 24.50%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 29.50%
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 5.50%
Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 1.50%
Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 2.50%
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 24.50%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 7.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Blocks O/U 0.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 19.50%
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 5.50%
Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%

Market context

The Heat vs. Hornets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Team to Score First at 100% for "Heat vs. Hornets".

Team to Score First 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.9M.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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