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Hawks vs. Magic

Five-platform snapshot of "Hawks vs. Magic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 219.5 83% O/U 222.5 79% O/U 225.5 74% O/U 228.5 66% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $878K Closes: 21 Oct 2026
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Hawks vs. Magic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 219.583%
O/U 222.579%
O/U 225.574%
O/U 228.566%
O/U 230.563%
O/U 231.561%
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.556%
O/U 234.554%
Spread: Magic (-2.5)53%
O/U 235.552%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
O/U 236.549%
Spread -3.549%
Spread -4.546%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.545%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.545%
O/U 238.545%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.544%
Hawks vs. Magic43%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.543%
Spread -5.542%
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.542%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.542%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.542%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.540%
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.540%
O/U 241.539%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.538%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.538%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.537%
Spread -2.537%
Spread -7.536%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 4.535%
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.535%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.534%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 4.534%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.533%
O/U 244.533%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 20.532%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.532%
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.531%
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.531%
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.530%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 21.530%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.530%
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.530%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.530%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.530%
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.529%
Spread -10.529%
Spread -5.529%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.528%
O/U 247.527%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.526%
Spread -13.521%
Spread -8.520%
Spread -16.515%
Spread -11.514%

Market context

Market consensus: 83% chance of hawks vs. magic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 219.5 at 83% for "Hawks vs. Magic".

O/U 219.5 83% Other 17%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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