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Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 97% O/U 1.5 88% Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5 85% Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5 83% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $550K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
O/U 1.588%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.585%
Inter Miami CF O/U 0.583%
1st Half O/U 0.581%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
2nd Half O/U 1.571%
Both Teams to Score70%
O/U 2.569%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.556%
Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 0.554%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.553%
Inter Miami CF O/U 1.552%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half52%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 3.548%
1st Half O/U 1.545%
O/U 4.528%
Both Teams to Score in First Half28%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.528%
Inter Miami CF O/U 2.525%
Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)21%
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)19%
1st Half O/U 2.519%
Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 1.518%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.517%
O/U 5.514%
Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)9%
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)8%

Market context

Market consensus: 97% chance of inter miami cf vs. chicago fire fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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Related Topics

Sports