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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Live odds for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 68% Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds 62% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $736K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.568%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds62%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
NRFI53%
Spread -1.551%
O/U 9.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.544%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings11%

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction market currently prices this outcome at 80% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 9 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $167K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds on PolyGram

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Related Topics

Sports