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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Live odds for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% O/U 4.5 100% Volume: $829K Liquidity: $138K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds92%
Spread -1.580%
Spread -2.566%
O/U 5.557%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 6.536%
O/U 7.524%
Spread -3.522%
O/U 8.520%
O/U 9.511%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to philadelphia phillies vs. cincinnati reds. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 7 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds".

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $829K.

Methodology

This page reviews Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports