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New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Comparison of odds and platforms for "New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 68% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% NRFI 52% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $917K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.568%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
NRFI52%
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals48%
O/U 9.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.544%
Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.518%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to new york yankees vs. washington nationals. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 12 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $91K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports