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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

How the prediction-market book is pricing "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% O/U 7.5 57% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 53% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
O/U 7.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.553%
NRFI50%
O/U 8.550%
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves46%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
O/U 9.540%
Spread -1.538%
Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.526%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, new york mets vs. atlanta braves stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 11 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $103K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports