Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | Polymarket Vs Kalshi — 79% likely

Name: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Start: 2026-07-25T13:00:46.000Z
End: 2026-08-07T23:10:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	79%	21%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	79%	21%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	79%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5	65%
O/U 7.5	59%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	53%
NRFI	50%
O/U 8.5	50%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	48%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	41%
O/U 9.5	40%
Spread -1.5	36%
Spread -1.5	36%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	31%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	31%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5	30%
Spread -2.5	27%
Spread -2.5	26%
Extra Innings	9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and New York Mets, scheduled for July 31 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market w…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $175K.

Methodology

This page reviews Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writerand

Priya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets on PolyGram

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