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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

NRFI 100% Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets 55% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 52% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 51% Volume: $470K Liquidity: $408K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets55%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 8.550%
O/U 9.545%
Spread -1.541%
O/U 10.537%
Spread -1.529%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kansas city royals vs. new york mets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets, scheduled for July 9 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City R…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $470K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports