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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Any Player Quadra Kill 50% Any Player Penta Kill 50% Volume: $633K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and HANJIN BRION in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red F…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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