Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
74% | 26% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
74% | 26% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 74% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 67% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 56% |
| Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 55% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 54% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 54% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 54% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 54% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 53% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 53% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 49% |
| Game 4 Winner | 42% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 40% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 40% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 39% |
| Game 1 Winner | 37% |
| Game 2 Winner | 37% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 37% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 37% |
| Game 3 Winner | 36% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 32% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Match Winner | 27% |
| Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 27% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
The LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Knights Rivals, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward G…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →