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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) 66% Volume: $160K Liquidity: $700K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
O/U 3.5 Games61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Game 4 Winner39%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?34%
Game 1 Winner33%
Game 2 Winner33%
Game 3 Winner32%
First Blood in Game 2?30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Match Winner19%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: deep cross gaming vs team liquid (bo5) - mid-season invitational play-in stands at 69% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 29 at 4:0…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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