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FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 84% FC Seoul O/U 0.5 80% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 79% Gangwon FC O/U 0.5 75% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $60K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.584%
FC Seoul O/U 0.580%
2nd Half O/U 0.579%
Gangwon FC O/U 0.575%
2nd Half O/U 1.564%
Gangwon FC O/U 1.557%
FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 0.556%
O/U 1.553%
1st Half O/U 1.551%
1st Half O/U 2.550%
FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC Seoul 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC Seoul 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Gangwon FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Gangwon FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Gangwon FC 1st Half O/U 1.549%
FC Seoul O/U 1.547%
Gangwon FC 1st Half O/U 0.543%
FC Seoul O/U 2.539%
Both Teams to Score37%
Gangwon FC O/U 2.537%
1st Half O/U 0.530%
O/U 2.523%
O/U 3.520%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
FC Seoul (-1.5)13%
Gangwon FC (-1.5)7%
FC Seoul (-2.5)5%
Gangwon FC (-2.5)4%
O/U 4.54%
O/U 5.54%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 84% YES probability for FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC - More Markets. More markets for the K-League game, scheduled for July 12 at 6:30 AM ET.

Methodology

We track FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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