Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 49% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya | 28% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 2% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open wta: xinyu wang vs anna kalinskaya. This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Anna Kalinskaya in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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