Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open wta: sloane stephens vs clara tauson stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Sloane Stephens and Clara Tauson in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page reviews US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson on PolyGram
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