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US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend

Comparison of odds and platforms for "US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Completed Match 100% US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Game Spread +/-3.5 100% Volume: $158K Liquidity: $571 Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Game Spread +/-3.5100%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend0%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner0%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 Winner0%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 21.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 22.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 23.50%
US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open wta: maja chwalinska vs taylor townsend. This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Chwalinska and Taylor Townsend in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwali…

Methodology

We track US Open WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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