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Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Match Winner 53% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $242K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Match Winner53%
Map 1 Winner52%
Map 2 Winner52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: VARREL (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: VARREL (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)41%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)40%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: VARREL (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)40%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)37%
Map Handicap: VARREL (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)28%
Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)22%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 62% probability to valorant: varrel vs detonation focusme (bo3) - vct pacific group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between VARREL and DetonatioN FocusMe in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VA…

Methodology

We track Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT P… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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