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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 65% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 60% Match Winner 56% O/U 2.5 Games 53% Volume: $121K Liquidity: $458K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner65%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Match Winner56%
O/U 2.5 Games53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 1 Winner36%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.536%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)24%

Market context

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins — current market-implied probability: 65%. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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