Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-6.5) vs LOUD (+6.5) | 48% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-6.5) vs Cloud9 (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-6.5) vs Cloud9 (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Cloud9 and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 31 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 …
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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