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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 77% Map 1 Winner 75% Map 2 Winner 71% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) 71% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $190K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner77%
Map 1 Winner75%
Map 2 Winner71%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)71%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)58%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)57%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
O/U 2.5 Games42%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: 100 thieves vs krü esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 24 at 8:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We track Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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