Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kuopion PS O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5) | 0% |
| Kuopion PS (-1.5) | 0% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5) | 0% |
| Kuopion PS (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kuopion PS O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kuopion PS O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kuopion PS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Kuopion PS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Universitatea Craiova and Kuopion PS are scheduled to meet in a UEFA Europa League qualifier on 13 August 2026. The fixture represents an early-round knockout tie in Europe's second-tier club competition, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated. The match kicks off at 1:00 PM ET, with settlement of related markets closing at 5:00 PM ET the same day—allowing roughly four hours post-match for final confirmation.
The 0% implied probability on this contract suggests traders view additional market offerings as either redundant or unlikely to materialise before the settlement deadline. Comparable UEFA Europa League qualifier windows typically see a flurry of secondary betting markets (correct score, both teams to score, player performance props) released by major sportsbooks within 48 hours of fixture confirmation. However, liquidity in niche prediction markets for lower-profile European ties often remains thin; historical precedent shows that markets for Romanian and Finnish club matchups attract significantly less cross-platform activity than those involving top-five league sides. The absence of early market creation here may reflect genuine low demand rather than uncertainty about whether additional markets will exist.
Traders should monitor official UEFA fixture announcements and sportsbook releases from major operators (Betfair, DraftKings, FanDuel) in the week preceding 13 August. Fixture postponement, venue changes, or squad availability issues could alter market-creation timelines. Additionally, any late injury announcements to key players from either side may prompt sportsbooks to delay or restrict certain prop markets, affecting the range of available contracts before settlement.
Methodology
This page reviews Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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