Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Rangers FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Rangers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| Team to Advance | 2% |
| O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Rangers FC O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Rangers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Rangers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Rangers FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5) | 0% |
| Rangers FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Rangers FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Rangers FC will face Jagiellonia Białystok in the UEFA Europa League on 13 August at 2:30 PM ET, with this match forming part of the competition's league-phase format. The fixture represents a qualifying or early-round encounter in Europe's second-tier club competition, where Rangers—a Scottish Premiership heavyweight—are favoured against Polish opposition. The 0% implied probability on this contract suggests traders are either avoiding the market entirely or pricing it as a near-certainty outcome, creating potential arbitrage opportunities if traditional sportsbooks diverge meaningfully from that assessment.
Historical precedent indicates that Rangers' European record against Polish clubs shows mixed results, though the club's domestic pedigree and continental experience typically favour them in such matchups. Jagiellonia's qualification to this stage reflects their recent domestic dominance in Poland, yet their Europa League exposure remains comparatively limited. The current 0% reading is unusual for a match between teams of this calibre and warrants comparison against opening lines from major operators—Betfair, DraftKings, and European-focused books—where Rangers are likely priced between 1.6 and 2.0 for a win.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official UEFA communications through early August, particularly regarding injury status and squad rotation decisions. Rangers' fixture congestion in the Scottish Premiership may influence selection, whilst Jagiellonia's domestic calendar could affect their preparation intensity. Settlement occurs at 18:30 UTC on 13 August, giving markets roughly two weeks to adjust from current extremes.
Methodology
This page reviews Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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