Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Hammarby Fotboll versus RSC Anderlecht is a one-off scoreline market, so the key question is not who qualifies, but which exact 90-minute result lands at full time. The crowd-implied **0% YES** price suggests traders currently see the named outcome set as effectively unreachable or mispriced relative to the match’s likely scoring patterns, which is starkly at odds with sportsbook-style pricing that still treats both teams as live and goals as plausible. The Fishy’s head-to-head market shows a fairly balanced match line, with home win 2.18, draw 3.45 and away win 3.15, while the goals market is centred near two or three goals, with over 2.5 at 1.95 and under 2.5 at 1.86.[2]

For context, exact-score contracts usually deserve much lower probabilities than standard win/draw/win markets because even a competitive match can miss the target by a single goal or by the wrong side scoring first. FootyStats’ comparison data also points to a meaningful attacking edge for Hammarby, listing them as **38% better in goals scored**, which supports the idea that a narrow set of scorelines is more plausible than a broad consensus on any one result.[1] That is the main reason prediction markets and bookmaker pricing often diverge on exact-score contracts: a modestly priced home side, away side or totals market does not translate into a high probability for one specific final score.

Traders should watch for team news, late injury updates, and any changes to the match schedule, because this market stays open if the fixture is postponed and only resolves on the completed 90-minute scoreline. Line movement in the match odds and totals market will matter more than headline win probabilities, since any shift in expected goal volume changes the likelihood of each exact score. If pre-match pricing continues to sit around a balanced win line with a mid-range total, a 0% YES contract remains difficult to reconcile with either analyst-style or sportsbook-derived expectations.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

We track Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.