Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5 | 23% |
| Both Teams to Score | 22% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| Vasteraas SK (-1.5) | 11% |
| O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5 | 3% |
| Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | 1% |
| Vasteraas SK (-2.5) | 1% |
| Djurgardens IF (-2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Västerås SK will host Djurgårdens IF on 10 August in the Swedish Allsvenskan, with the settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC that day. The fixture is scheduled for 13:00 ET, giving traders a narrow window between kick-off and market closure. The 11% implied probability on this contract reflects a specific outcome within the broader match—likely either a precise scoreline, a particular goal-scorer, or a defined in-match event rather than a simple win/loss proposition.
Historically, Djurgårdens has held the stronger league position and head-to-head record against Västerås in recent seasons, though Allsvenskan form can shift rapidly across a campaign. Comparable markets on this fixture show sportsbook moneyline odds favouring Djurgårdens at around −150 to −170, with Västerås at +130 to +150. The 11% probability on this specific contract sits notably lower than Västerås's outright win probability, suggesting either a narrow, high-difficulty outcome or a dependent condition tied to match circumstances. Cross-platform comparison reveals prediction markets typically price such conditional events tighter than traditional bookmakers, reflecting real-time trader activity rather than fixed closing lines.
Key catalysts include team news on injuries or suspensions released in the days before the match, which can materially shift both main-market odds and subsidiary contract probabilities. Västerås's recent form in July and early August will shape confidence in their ability to compete; Djurgårdens' European fixture schedule, if active, may affect squad rotation decisions. Traders should monitor official Allsvenskan announcements and Swedish football media for lineup confirmations closer to kick-off, as late changes often create pricing inefficiencies between sportsbooks and prediction markets.
Methodology
This page reviews Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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