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FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 86% FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5 78% O/U 1.5 59% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 51% Volume: $851K Liquidity: $119K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.586%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.578%
O/U 1.559%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
SSC Napoli O/U 0.550%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 0.550%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.550%
SSC Napoli 1st Half O/U 0.550%
SSC Napoli 1st Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half (-2.5)50%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
SSC Napoli 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Internazionale Milano 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
SSC Napoli 1st Half (-2.5)44%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.542%
FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.541%
Both Teams to Score37%
O/U 2.531%
SSC Napoli O/U 1.528%
Both Teams to Score in First Half27%
1st Half O/U 0.526%
FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)24%
SSC Napoli O/U 2.523%
O/U 3.513%
FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)9%
O/U 4.55%
SSC Napoli (-1.5)4%
1st Half O/U 1.53%
FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half (-1.5)3%
SSC Napoli (-2.5)2%
SSC Napoli 1st Half (-1.5)2%
O/U 5.51%
1st Half O/U 2.51%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 86% YES probability for FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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